Chad's blog: April 2009

Wow. Big things happening in New Zealand these days. I did not see Robyn leaving that early. She has no one to blame for herself- why would you choose Kimberly over Brooke?!?! This was probably a pretty embarrassing challenge to watch for Robyn- she was pretty much mocked the entire time. Now for my predictions and analysis for the women:

Aneesa: Never quite as good an athlete as you'd think. She won the first duel, but beating Shauvon is like beating Brooke or some other extremely unathletic, unmotivated loser- not very impressive. She has a decent following among the vets so she'll be around for awhile but I dont see her going all the way. I'd like to see her get more involved in the house drama this season- she's been fading to the backdrop recently. Nothing a nice fling with Rachel wouldn't fix...
Odds of winning: 10:1

Brittini: Dont remember her at all from RW. She was pretty good at sitting on the ice block in tonight's episode, though I don't know to what extent that speaks to her athletic ability. Her and Landon have developed a bit of an alliance, which can only be helpful for her in the long run. Perhaps a rimance is their future? I think it will...
Odds of winning: Darkhorse alert, 8:1

Brooke: Terrible. Really awful. Possibly the most unathletic person I've ever seen on national TV. Not unlike Paula, she got her boob job and now walks around like she owns the place. She has zero chance of winning this challenge, because it's not like she is smart and can win the puzzle challenges. My pick for the next to go
Odds of winning: 100:1

Diem: I didnt love how she handled the whole CT situation, but overall, I'm a fan of Diem's. First of all, she is very well liked, so she's not going anywhere anytime soon. Second of all, she's a pretty solid athlete, albeit not a great one- probably in the mold of a Kina-type. In the aftershow following the first episode, she was very quick to note that she had a new boyfriend. A little too quick. Probably still not over CT, who clearly is not interested in her anymore, thus making her situation a little pathetic.
Odds of winning: 8:1

Jenn: Not her first rodeo. She's got a few challenges under her belt and knows what she's doing. She's a good athlete and quite a competitor. She seems to be somewhat of an outcast in the house, which may put her in a few duels, but I like her to go far this year.
Odds of winning: 8:1

Katie: Loser. I know she's won a challenge like 10 years ago, but I just can't take her seriously as a competitor. Brings nothing to the table. Seems like she's always trying to befriend the new rookie outcasts so that she can form some kind of ragtag alliance (see: end of first women's duel, when she is one of only 2 or 3 people to go and hug Shauvon after she loses).
Odds of winning: 15:1

Kimberly: Wow, showed me a lot this week in beating Robyn handily in a fairly difficult physical duel. I have no idea why Robyn picker her instead of Brooke, but that's another story. Bottom line: she turned some heads last night and might just be able to stick around for awhile. I still don;t see her beating a Jenn or an Aneesa in a wrestling-type challenge, but think that she could continue to do well if the challenges allow her to take advantage of her height and relative athleticism (it's all relative with these girls)
Odds to win: 14:1

Paula: Amazing what a few years does. I remember not too long ago when she was an emotional wreck- anorexic, crying everyday about her boyfriend, and emotional baggage galore. Now she basically runs the show (at least for the women). She definitely gets the game and probably learned something after getting stabbed in the back on The Island. That being said, I have trouble warming up to her- not really sure why since normally I like the super-competitive, manipulative characters (i.e. Evan). I think it was initially because she acts like a veteran and I never really saw her as being in that group. I guess now that the Veronicas, Tinas, and Tonyas aren'y around anymore, Paula's as much a vet as anyone.
Odds to win: 4:1, as long as she can keep her alliance with Evan

Rachel: I'm glad she's back in the fold after a long absence. She is a personal trainer back home, so presumably she's going to be tough to beat. Doesn;t bring much to the table in terms of personality, but from the trailer, looks like she's going to be hot on the trail again for Jenn. Never seemed to really build strong relationships with the other girls considering she's a vet and all, so she's going to have to work on that.
Odds to win: 6:1

Ruthie: Great to have you back Ruthie! Great athlete and great competitor and people are afraid of her.
Odds to win: 4:1

Tori: Overall I like Tori. I'm interested to see what happens with her and Brad, since the trailer suggests that there is trouble in paradise. More in important than finding a life partner, Tori has found herself a great ally in Brad, which should be enough to keep her out of a duel until pretty late in the game. She also showed she's a pretty strong athlete in Road Rules.
Odds to win: 5:1